https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022 - just bookmarking the predictions from vox - [1] Democrats will lose their majorities in the US House and Senate (95 percent) [2] Inflation in the US will average under 3 percent (80 percent) [3] Unemployment in the US will fall below 4 percent by November (80 percent) [4] The Supreme Court will overturn Roe v. Wade (65 percent) [5] Stephen Breyer will retire from the Supreme Court (55 percent) [6] Emmanuel Macron will be reelected as president of France (65 percent) [7] Jair Bolsonaro will be reelected as president of Brazil (55 percent) [8] Bongbong Marcos will be elected as president of the Philippines (55 percent) [9] Rebels will NOT capture the Ethiopian capital of Addis Ababa (55 percent) [10] China will not reopen its borders in the first half of 2022 (80 percent) [11] Chinese GDP will continue to grow for the first three quarters of the year (95 percent) [12] 20 percent of US children between 6 months and 5 years old will have received at least one Covid vaccine by year’s end (65 percent) [13] The WHO will designate another variant of concern by year’s end (75 percent) [14] 12 billion shots will be given out against Covid-19 globally by November 2022 ... (80 percent) [15] ... but at least one country will have less than 10 percent of people vaccinated with two shots by November 2022 — (70 percent) [16] A psychedelic drug will be decriminalized or legalized in at least one new US state (75 percent) [17] AI will discover a new drug — or an old drug fit for new purposes — that’s promising enough for clinical trials (85 percent) [18] US government will not renew the ban on funding gain-of-function research (60 percent) [19] The Biden administration will set the social cost of carbon at $100 per ton or more (70 percent) [20] 2022 will be warmer than 2021 (80 percent) [21] Kenneth Branagh’s Belfast will win Best Picture (55 percent) [22] Norway will win the most medals at the 2022 Winter Olympics (60 percent)
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