A little explainer of why I've forecasted a score of 0-1 or 1-0 for all the Euro 2020 games: it's been the most frequent outcome in recent tournaments. --- Euro 16: 41.18% of all games (21 out of 51) ended with a 1 goal margin, and 61.9% of these games (13 out of 21) ended with exactly 1-0 or 0-1. 25.49% of all games (13 out of 51) ended up with exactly 1-0 or 0-1. --- World cup 18: 49.21% of all games (31 out of 63) ended with a 1 goal margin, and 48.39% of these games (15 out of 31) ended with exactly 1-0 or 0-1. 23.81% of all games (15 out of 63) ended up with exactly 1-0 or 0-1. --- On these two tournaments, 1-0 or 0-1 was by far the most frequent outcome, so I'm expecting the 2020 Euro to finish with similar rates.