wolves 2 - 2 arsenal on feb 18th 2026 (yesterday) looks like the turning point of the season but we can't tell right now, only in hindsight. MD23 with a 2-3 loss v. united made a lot of noise in the media, but statistically the loss wasn't too bad. this one v. wolves is though.

opta pre-game title prob for arsenal: 91.5%
opta post-game title prob for arsenal : 79.69%

euroelo pre-game title prob for arsenal: 23.07%
euroelo post-game title prob for arsenal: 19.77%